Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.035368 0.039993 0.045119 0.051241 0.058382 0.066482 0.076413
2024-10-27 0.027366 0.033306 0.040497 0.049933 0.062119 0.077503 0.098683
2024-11-03 0.023802 0.030477 0.039077 0.051150 0.067958 0.090980 0.125706
2024-11-10 0.021376 0.028489 0.038115 0.052392 0.073545 0.104593 0.155306
2024-11-17 0.019161 0.026376 0.036544 0.052325 0.076969 0.115361 0.182631
2024-11-24 0.017207 0.024340 0.034738 0.051519 0.078952 0.123998 0.208097
2024-12-01 0.015901 0.023067 0.033853 0.051914 0.082762 0.136085 0.242123
2024-12-08 0.014731 0.021856 0.032888 0.051989 0.085953 0.147531 0.277541
2024-12-15 0.013799 0.020905 0.032207 0.052403 0.089724 0.160603 0.319386
2024-12-22 0.012529 0.019292 0.030273 0.050388 0.088711 0.164256 0.341883
2024-12-29 0.012181 0.019144 0.030753 0.052705 0.096217 0.186292 0.412243
2025-01-05 0.011091 0.017660 0.028797 0.050291 0.094007 0.187461 0.432253
2025-01-12 0.010279 0.016637 0.027648 0.049457 0.095299 0.197468 0.480762
2025-01-19 0.009469 0.015560 0.026319 0.048159 0.095519 0.205383 0.527453
2025-01-26 0.009079 0.015188 0.026235 0.049321 0.101308 0.227948 0.625847
2025-02-02 0.008727 0.014850 0.026173 0.050510 0.107367 0.252742 0.742709
2025-02-09 0.008261 0.014260 0.025563 0.050446 0.110444 0.270455 0.844441
2025-02-16 0.007762 0.013565 0.024682 0.049675 0.111648 0.283296 0.935115
2025-02-23 0.007426 0.013157 0.024334 0.050052 0.115848 0.306030 1.077158
2025-03-02 0.007089 0.012717 0.023880 0.050124 0.119266 0.327397 1.226675
2025-03-09 0.006808 0.012367 0.023579 0.050521 0.123653 0.353213 1.413726
2025-03-16 0.006346 0.011621 0.022376 0.048592 0.121163 0.355389 1.487489
2025-03-23 0.006265 0.011643 0.022828 0.050809 0.131132 0.404210 1.842958